Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 97.302952 107.668435 118.331560 130.097468 142.692706 155.748516 170.281495
2024-12-22 80.579671 95.727126 112.088373 130.976548 152.081527 174.840943 201.141400
2024-12-29 72.617959 90.694728 110.891072 134.926762 162.547599 193.095150 229.228826
2025-01-05 65.299295 85.255920 108.222245 136.276049 169.282676 206.554214 251.483608
2025-01-12 59.083063 80.346973 105.483426 136.908023 174.649579 218.037903 271.187814
2025-01-19 52.067822 73.782275 100.148988 133.869622 175.181585 223.490867 283.569427
2025-01-26 49.492088 72.484145 101.002333 138.127343 184.310792 239.020811 307.836845
2025-02-02 46.589376 70.487369 100.751363 140.827886 191.413434 252.073709 329.187648
2025-02-09 43.332456 67.751137 99.325046 141.848247 196.290196 262.349879 347.186648
2025-02-16 41.808188 67.213590 100.642674 146.299207 205.438178 277.889167 371.701409
2025-02-23 39.447731 65.336536 100.039658 148.137441 211.197563 289.220006 391.099368
2025-03-02 35.926301 61.570566 96.677958 146.143837 211.874728 294.090894 402.436608
2025-03-09 33.162383 58.774336 94.564708 145.797260 214.750755 301.886198 417.705429
2025-03-16 30.717813 56.289598 92.753601 145.759508 217.981537 310.143938 433.646180
2025-03-23 29.849859 56.125057 94.175746 150.135061 227.086155 325.999961 459.349837
2025-03-30 28.184339 54.601357 93.544973 151.581893 232.224935 336.734784 478.580250
2025-04-06 26.437658 52.822754 92.435040 152.265952 236.274346 346.035351 496.004596
2025-04-13 23.781911 49.372464 88.662872 148.982193 234.746089 347.894233 503.718847
2025-04-20 23.333730 49.557082 90.354027 153.583143 244.138228 364.274854 530.472353
2025-04-27 22.499159 49.024662 90.905222 156.499846 251.195573 377.594794 553.319722
2025-05-04 21.292207 47.763530 90.258927 157.601579 255.683838 387.486502 571.716203
2025-05-11 20.996122 48.087174 92.092766 162.405610 265.447672 404.563580 599.744069
2025-05-18 20.098513 47.267898 92.065125 164.388785 271.198735 416.242699 620.686767